This long term asset allocation timing strategy diversifies through investing in 5 asset classes. This is a long only model that only trades at the end of the month, it can be 100% in cash or 100% invested or somewhere in between. Historically, this strategy has trounced a buy and hold strategy in the S&P 500. The strategy has averaged an 11% annual return with a maximum peak to trough equity drawdown of -10% . As a comparison the S&P 500 has averaged 6.7% annually with a maximum peak to trough drawdown of -54% over the same 1973 – 2011 timeframe! As we learned here ~62% of fund managers cant beat their benchmark, this is an easy to follow strategy that blows away the pros and the market!
Below you will find the equity curve of $100 invested in this strategy since 1973 would have grown to $5,430. As a comparison you can see the performance of $100 invested in a buy and hold strategy in the S&P 500 would have only grown to $1204.
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