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Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Real time system review

Many of you have been asking for an updated system performance review, I finally got a chance to put it together. You will find that all of the systems have been quite profitable, hopefully some of you have been able to benefit from the advice!

I am excepting offers to purchase system and setup rules and in the future plan to start a subscription services. Please send me any and all indications of interest. Cheers


S&P Model
S&P model 61% win accuracy and would have turned $100 into $130.61. Below you will find a list of the trades
NDX Model
NDX model 63.3% win accuracy and would have turned $100 into $129.69. Below you will find a list of the trades

VIX model
VIX model had a 64% win accuracy and would have turned $100 into $2,797. Below you will find a list of the trades. Using the VXX as a substitute/ trading vehicle since its inception 2/18/09 would have turned $100 into $402.66
Short term system

out of the 15 short term trades that have hit since we started this blog, we made money on 12 out of 15 trades(80% win rate) for a total gain of 173.7 S&P pts. We made 19.3 pts from the January 28th short , made 2.9pts from the December 13th short , made 27pts from the May 21st long, made 6.9 pts from the March 12th short, made 6.2 pts from the September 2nd long, we lost 18.8pts from the short on July 20th, we made 17 pts from the long on July 9th,made 14.8pts from the short on June 5th, made 9.5 pts from the May 7th short ,made 45.2 points on the long from April 1st , plus a 12pt win on the Feb 24th long entry, 15pt win on the Jan 15th long entry, lost 17.3 pts fromJan 13th long entry, lost 17 pts onNovember 18th, and made 52 pts on the win from October 28th

Ripe Trades level 1 made money on 400 trades and lost money on 167 trades for a win accuracy of 70.5% the average net trade made a profit of 1.4%. A summary of all the trades can be found here!

Ripe Trades Level 2 made money on 57 trades and lost money on 19 trades for a win accuracy of 75% , the average net trade made a profit of 5.5%. A summary of all the trades can be found here!

Ripe Trades Shorts made money on 100 trades and lost money on 35 trades for a win accuracy of 74.1% , the average net trade made a profit of 3.1%. A summary of all the trades can be found here!

Trading setups for February 24


The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. This model will cover the short and get long at the close today February 24th if the VIX stays below 23.22

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. This model will cover the short and go to cash at the close tomorrow February 24th if the VXN stays below 26.14 or if the VXN closes below 24.37 or if the VXN closes below the VXN open.


The VIX Model is in cash. This model will sell the long at the open and potentially get short at the close tomorrow February 24th if the VIX stays below 23.22 or if the VIX closes below 22.13 or if the VIX closes below the VIX open.




Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. ( GRMN URBN XRAY )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Trading setups for February 23

The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. This model will cover the short and get long at the close today February 23rd if the VIX stays below 21.45

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. This model will cover the short and go to cash at the close tomorrow February 23rd if the VXN stays below 23.78 or if the VXN closes below 23.39 or if the VXN closes below the VXN open.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. This model will sell the long at the open and potentially get short at the close tomorrow February 23rd if the VIX stays below 21.45 or if the VIX closes below 20.8 or if the VIX closes below the VIX open.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADSK FAST GOOG GRMN ISRG LOGI MAT NIHD PAYX PCLN SBUX SYMC TEVA URBN XLNX XRAY )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Monday, February 21, 2011

Sell Sell Sell

Our short term model will get short the S&P tomorrow February 22nd if the S&P opens above 1342.8, then rises 1.5 pts above the open. This setup criteria is based on the big S&P contract not the ES .Entry criteria is based on the big S&P futures price 9:30 EST time open. You can get quotes here. The performance results below, are based on 1 large contract trades since 1982


Rules

If the open is greater than 1342.8 then Sell Short at open + 1.5 pts

Exit 1st profitable open or 2% stop loss


Out of the 15 short term trades that have hit since we started this blog, we made money on 12 out of 15 trades for a total gain of 173.7 S&P pts. We made 19.3 pts from the January 28th short , made 2.9pts from the December 13th short , made 27pts from the May 21st long, made 6.9 pts from the March 12th short, made 6.2 pts from the September 2nd long, we lost 18.8pts from the short on July 20th, we made 17 pts from the long on July 9th,made 14.8pts from the short on June 5th, made 9.5 pts from the May 7th short ,made 45.2 points on the long from April 1st , plus a 12pt win on the Feb 24th long entry, 15pt win on the Jan 15th long entry, lost 17.3 pts from Jan 13th long entry, lost 17 pts onNovember 18th, and made 52 pts on the win from October 28th




Thursday, February 17, 2011

Trading setups for February 18


The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. No open orders.

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADP ADSK APOL CHRW COST CTAS ESRX GOOG GRMN INTC ISRG LLTC LOGI MAT MYL NIHD ORCL PAYX PCLN SRCL STX SYMC VOD XLNX XRAY )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Trading setups for February 17

The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. No open orders.

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.


Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADP ADSK APOL CHRW COST CTSH ESRX GENZ GILD GOOG INFY INTC ISRG LLTC LOGI MAT MYL NIHD ORCL PAYX SPLS STX SYMC VOD XLNX XRAY )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Trading setups for February 16


The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. No open orders.

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL CTSH ESRX FLEX FWLT GENZ GILD GOOG INFY INTC LLTC LOGI MRVL MYL NIHD ORCL PAYX PCLN SPLS STX VOD VRTX WCRX XLNX XRAY YHOO )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Monday, February 14, 2011

Trading setups for February 15

The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. No open orders.

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL CTSH ESRX FLEX FWLT GENZ GILD GOOG INFY INTC LLTC LOGI MRVL MYL NIHD ORCL PAYX PCLN SPLS STX VOD VRTX WCRX XLNX XRAY YHOO )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Trading setups for February 14

The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. No open orders.

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.




Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL BIIB ESRX FLEX FWLT GENZ GILD INFY INTC LLTC LOGI MXIM MYL NIHD SPLS STX VRTX WCRX )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Thursday, February 10, 2011

Trading setups for February 11


I apologize I wasn’t able to make a post last night, the S&P model sold the long and got short at the close on Feb 10!

The intermediate term S&P Model is short as of the close on February 10th. No open orders.

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.




Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL ESRX EXPE FWLT GENZ GILD GOOG INTC ISRG LOGI MXIM PCLN SPLS STX VRTX WCRX )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Trading setups for February 9

The intermediate term S&P Model is long as of the close on January 31st. This model will sell the long on a stop at 1327 and or sell the long and get short at the close tomorrow February 9th if the VIX stays above 14.86

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL EXPE FWLT GOOG ILMN INTC ISRG LOGI NVDA PCLN SPLS STX VRTX WCRX WYNN )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Monday, February 7, 2011

Trading setups for February 8


The intermediate term S&P Model is long as of the close on January 31st. This model will sell the long on a stop at 1311 and or sell the long and get short at the close tomorrow February 8th if the VIX stays above 15.84

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is long as of February 7th. NO open orders.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL DTV EXPE INTC ISRG LOGI NVDA PCLN STX WCRX WYNN )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Trading setups for February 7

The intermediate term S&P Model is long as of the close on January 31st. This model will sell the long on a stop at 1310 and or sell the long and get short at the close tomorrow February 8th if the VIX stays above 15.89

The NASDAQ model is short as of the close on January 6th. No open orders.


The VIX Model is in cash. This model will get long the VIX at the close tomorrow February 7th if the VIX stays above 15.89 or if the VIX closes above 15.93 or if the VIX closes above the VIX open.



Ripe Trades

At left you will find a list of long and short candidates. Historically these long and short setups have performed quite nicely when using the entry levels specified next to the ticker and the exit rules below. Here is the real time out of sampleperformance reviewof the Ripe Trade results for the year 2008. These are the stocks that qualify for Today with the entry price limits specified , good for the day only.
Long Exit rules – Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is greater than 50 or exit on the first profitable open with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable open with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st open that is greater than my entry price.

Short Exit rules - Exit at the close on the day when a 2 day RSI close is less than 70 or exit on the 1st profitable close with a 1 day delay. The 1st profitable close with 1 day delay dictates that I hold the position for at least 2 trading days which includes the entry day then exit on the 1st close that is less than my entry price.


These setups don’t have a stop loss, our research has showed through back testing that this strategy works best without a stop loss. A few ways to limit the risk without a stop loss are 1) Position Size - lowering your position size lessens risk. 2) Watch out for single sector exposure, don’t let one single sector become too big a percentage of your account. 3) Consider using options for blowout protection. For longs consider buying way out of the money puts and for shorts consider buying way out of the money calls. This will create a catastrophe stop that protects you even if the stock has an extreme overnight gap.These setups are for education and entertainment purposes only this is not a recommendation or solicitation. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Consult your investment adviser before making any investment decisions.


Stocks ready to Breakout


Here is a list of stocks that meet the breakout trade setup criteria of a 10 day Bollinger band width in the bottom decile for a 200 day look back. (ADBE APOL DTV EXPE ILMN INTC ISRG LOGI NVDA PCLN STX SYMC URBN WCRX )The next step is to look for a big gap tomorrow (greater than 1 range above or below the close) then enter on a bull orbear range pivotin the same direction as the gap.The real time 2008 performance results arehereOne thought on the breakout candidates is to incorporate trend and only take buy signals of stocks in an uptrend and sell signals for stocks in a downtrend.