How to trade this market

The markets have been getting crushed for the past 6 weeks and a lot of traders are blowing their accounts up! I thought now would be a good time to toot our own horn and review some of the recent system performance.

YTD the intermediate term S&P model and NDX model are both up around 8%

Below is a chart that shows some of the recent intermediate term S&P model, trades.

Year to date the “Ripe Trade” setup had 46 trades with 43 wins or a 93.4% win rate. The average of all winning and losing trades was a net 2.9% , assuming you could have taken each trade one after the other a $10,000 account would have compounded into $35,000. The Biggest win was 10.9% profit and the biggest loss was -6.6% .

Year to date the “Sharpe Idea” setup had 75 trades with 67 wins or an 89% win rate. The average trade made +4.9%, assuming you could have taken each trade one after each other a $10,000 account would have compounded into $280,000.The biggest win was 19.4% and biggest loss was -4.8%

Below is a summary of the recent Ripe Trade and Sharpe Idea setups.

This is the YTD equity curve of all the Ripe Trades.


YTD our VIX model is up 27% when using the etf VXZ for longs and VXX for shorts. If you couldn't get a VXX borrow to short a XIV long would have performed just as well.

This is the equity curve of trading VXZ for longs and shorting VXX when a short signal is given in our VIX model!
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