Today we test the Breakaway Bullish candlestick pattern.
This is the description as per the Lit Wick website:
How to Identify it
The first day is a long black day
The second day is a black day that gaps below the first day
The third and fourth days continue to in the direction of the second with lower consecutive closes The fifth day is a long white day that closes into the gap between the first and second days
What it Means: A downtrend sees prices bottoming out and leveling off. The result is a long white day which does not close the gap into the body of the first day. This suggests a short term reversal.
We tested this pattern on every one of the S&P 500 stocks since 1990 and compared the performance results to the average 5 day move in all the S&P 500 stocks. The entry was at the open on the day after the breakaway bullish pattern setup and the exit was at the open 5 trading days after entry. This is what the breakaway bullish pattern setup looks
Below are the results of the Breakaway Bullish pattern, and as a comparison the average 5 day holding period of all the S&P 500 stocks and also performance statistics for all S&P 500 stocks while in a down trend. This pattern is extremely rare and after testing each of the S&P 500 stocks individually the pattern only occurred 80 times.
The average 5 day return after a Breakaway bullish pattern was slightly higher than the average random 5 day return. The win percent after a Breakaway bullish pattern was 43.8% which is below the 50.9% win rate from a random 5 day hold.Let Ripe Trade back test your trading concepts , Click Here
3 comments:
This is going to be a great series. You should trademark it to death and try to get a book out of it when you are done. If done thoroughly, this could be huge. Great idea!
bhh,
Im glad you enjoy the series.
I agree with bhh. This is really great! I really enjoy reading this stuff! Keep em' comming!
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